Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032881 0.038348 0.044368 0.051479 0.059640 0.068700 0.079511
2025-08-17 0.024006 0.030935 0.039279 0.050029 0.063465 0.079659 0.100604
2025-08-24 0.018719 0.026325 0.036228 0.049970 0.068442 0.092290 0.125271
2025-08-31 0.014594 0.022213 0.032849 0.048622 0.071222 0.102202 0.147596
2025-09-07 0.012561 0.020495 0.032268 0.050757 0.078742 0.119111 0.181217
2025-09-14 0.010502 0.018287 0.030515 0.050764 0.082993 0.131687 0.209975
2025-09-21 0.008628 0.015983 0.028171 0.049383 0.084758 0.140545 0.233940
2025-09-28 0.007300 0.014323 0.026556 0.048841 0.087625 0.151209 0.261616
2025-10-05 0.006732 0.013897 0.026935 0.051652 0.096295 0.171979 0.307580
2025-10-12 0.006114 0.013256 0.026809 0.053506 0.103451 0.190854 0.352146
2025-10-19 0.005192 0.011846 0.025031 0.052037 0.104412 0.199059 0.379009
2025-10-26 0.004524 0.010831 0.023847 0.051506 0.106967 0.210227 0.412030
2025-11-02 0.003830 0.009644 0.022169 0.049819 0.107216 0.217414 0.438948
2025-11-09 0.003281 0.008680 0.020803 0.048571 0.108166 0.225997 0.469338
2025-11-16 0.002909 0.008061 0.020087 0.048593 0.111687 0.239854 0.511159
2025-11-23 0.002503 0.007275 0.018866 0.047319 0.112292 0.247931 0.542281
2025-11-30 0.002355 0.007127 0.019115 0.049421 0.120464 0.272198 0.608358
2025-12-07 0.002107 0.006660 0.018515 0.049439 0.123965 0.287015 0.656182
2025-12-14 0.001825 0.006037 0.017421 0.048096 0.124167 0.294759 0.689702
2025-12-21 0.001617 0.005586 0.016698 0.047569 0.126210 0.306686 0.733277
2025-12-28 0.001564 0.005596 0.017217 0.050314 0.136473 0.337921 0.822090
2026-01-04 0.001477 0.005483 0.017376 0.052123 0.144615 0.365025 0.903857
2026-01-11 0.001289 0.004995 0.016390 0.050691 0.144386 0.372644 0.941748